<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>@stuartgh &#187; Coincidences</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.stuart-hall.com/category/coincidences/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.stuart-hall.com</link>
	<description>Current focus: Making people happy. Using social media tools to achieve this!</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Wed, 08 Feb 2012 12:15:13 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1</generator>
		<item>
		<title>Notes on social media feedback loops</title>
		<link>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2010/03/08/notes-on-social-media-feedback-loops/</link>
		<comments>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2010/03/08/notes-on-social-media-feedback-loops/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 11:02:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stuart Hall</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Coincidences]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Communities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Complexity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Psychology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social software]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.stuart-hall.com/?p=2940</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A few slides to layout the principle of different feedback loops between your online community, your site, contributors, readers and other blogs and communities. Any feedback? Feedback Loops View more presentations from Stuart Hall. &#8230;And thanks to tweet-feedback from Jenny &#8230; <a href="http://www.stuart-hall.com/2010/03/08/notes-on-social-media-feedback-loops/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="aligncenter" title="The simplest of feedback loops" src="http://www.schuelers.com/ChaosPsyche/images/part_13.gif" alt="" width="205" height="187" /></p>
<p>A few slides to layout the principle of different feedback loops between your online community, your site, contributors, readers and other blogs and communities. Any feedback?</p>
<div id="__ss_3363641" style="width: 425px;"><strong style="display: block; margin: 12px 0 4px;"><a title="Feedback Loops" href="http://www.slideshare.net/stuartgh/feedback-loops-3363641">Feedback Loops</a></strong><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="425" height="355" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><param name="src" value="http://static.slidesharecdn.com/swf/ssplayer2.swf?doc=feedbackloops-100308045809-phpapp02&amp;stripped_title=feedback-loops-3363641" /><param name="allowfullscreen" value="true" /><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="425" height="355" src="http://static.slidesharecdn.com/swf/ssplayer2.swf?doc=feedbackloops-100308045809-phpapp02&amp;stripped_title=feedback-loops-3363641" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true"></embed></object></p>
<div style="padding: 5px 0 12px;">View more <a href="http://www.slideshare.net/">presentations</a> from <a href="http://www.slideshare.net/stuartgh">Stuart Hall</a>.</div>
</div>
<p>&#8230;And thanks to tweet-feedback from <a href="http://c21org.typepad.com/">Jenny Ambrozek</a> (<a href="http://twitter.com/sagenet">@sagenet</a>) for the wider context around the power of feedback loops &#8211; see the <a href="http://www.fastcompany.com/magazine/125/nings-infinite-ambition.html">Fast Company article</a> on how Ning is using this concept (what they term a &#8216;viral expansion loop&#8217;) to great effect. [I'm currently at the <a href="http://www.bcs.org.uk">British Computer Society</a> at Covent Garden, so looks like I'll be reading the print-out over lunch].</p>
<p>PS: It&#8217;s also a key way in which the world&#8217;s biggest social network site Facebook, by implementing the &#8216;status update&#8217; feature, managed to rapidly grow its membership, as I <a href="http://tinyurl.com/looping-the-loop">outlined in a recent post</a>. In other words this is a very powerful tool if done well, and with something people want. Anyone want my viral loop consultancy better get in touch quick as I&#8217;m off to see a London-based social media agency about this on Thursday!</p>
<p>In the meantime I&#8217;ve ordered Adam Penenberg&#8217;s book &#8216;Viral Loop&#8217; (see the Amazon widget on my homepage to order a copy) after a &#8216;winning streak&#8217; of blog posts on the  power of networks &amp; feedback loops led me to <a href="http://www.viralloop.com/">his virtual door</a>. If you fancy creating some feedback loops, or plain user flows for that matter, I&#8217;ve tracked down what appears to be a useful site: <a href="http://productplanner.com/">Product Planner</a>. It allows you to create your own viral loops and check out some that have already been created.</p>
<p><a href="http://tinyurl.com/looping-the-loop"></a><a href="http://www.stuart-hall.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/Feedback_loop.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-2879" title="Feedback loop in action" src="http://www.stuart-hall.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/Feedback_loop-300x232.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="232" /></a></p>
<p>And of course I did a very quick search today on Twitter on the key phrase &#8216;viral loops&#8217; which unearthed this gem of a slideshow, from <a href="http://jjeffryes.blogspot.com/">Josh Jeffreys</a> (Interactive Creative Director at BusyEvent) which provides (in his words) an overview of how to build applications that have built-in mechanisms for driving users to recruit additional users through normal use of the application. Look out for the new acronym &#8216;UDU&#8217; (users drive users):<strong style="display: block; margin: 12px 0 4px;"><a title="Viral Loops: Making Self-Marketing Apps" href="http://www.slideshare.net/jjeffryes/viral-loops-making-selfmarketing-apps">Viral Loops: Making Self-Marketing Apps</a></strong><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="425" height="355" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><param name="src" value="http://static.slidesharecdn.com/swf/ssplayer2.swf?doc=presentation3-100302225817-phpapp01&amp;stripped_title=viral-loops-making-selfmarketing-apps" /><param name="allowfullscreen" value="true" /><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="425" height="355" src="http://static.slidesharecdn.com/swf/ssplayer2.swf?doc=presentation3-100302225817-phpapp01&amp;stripped_title=viral-loops-making-selfmarketing-apps" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true"></embed></object></p>
<div id="__ss_3321999" style="width: 425px;">
<div style="padding: 5px 0 12px;">View more <a href="http://www.slideshare.net/">presentations</a> from <a href="http://www.slideshare.net/jjeffryes">Josh Jeffryes</a>.</div>
</div>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2010/03/08/notes-on-social-media-feedback-loops/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Groupthink &amp; the credit crunch</title>
		<link>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/10/17/groupthink-the-credit-crunch/</link>
		<comments>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/10/17/groupthink-the-credit-crunch/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Oct 2008 19:49:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stuart Hall</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Coincidences]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[black swan theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit crunch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[groupthink]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[warren buffet]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.stuart-hall.com/?p=1500</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Everyone&#8217;s got a pet theory as to the cause of the credit crunch, Mine&#8217;s &#8216;groupthink&#8217;. What do you think about that?! I even name drop Warren Buffett in my theory. Plus a reference to &#8216;black swan theory&#8217; for good measure;-)]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Everyone&#8217;s got a pet theory as to the cause of the credit crunch, Mine&#8217;s <a href="http://www.ion.icaew.com/itcounts/15244#0">&#8216;groupthink&#8217;</a>. What do you think about that?! I even name drop Warren Buffett in my theory. Plus a reference to &#8216;black swan theory&#8217; for good measure;-)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/10/17/groupthink-the-credit-crunch/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Layoffs in the Social Media Space</title>
		<link>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/10/15/layoffs-in-the-social-media-space/</link>
		<comments>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/10/15/layoffs-in-the-social-media-space/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Oct 2008 09:52:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stuart Hall</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Coincidences]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[layoffs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.stuart-hall.com/?p=1495</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Jeremiah Owyang, Senior Analyst at Forrester Research in Social Computing charts the start of the US-based social media layoffs. By no coincidence it&#8217;s beginning in the UK too, so I hear. Then again, anecdotally speaking, it&#8217;s not all doom and &#8230; <a href="http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/10/15/layoffs-in-the-social-media-space/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jeremiah Owyang, Senior Analyst at Forrester Research in Social Computing charts the start of the US-based <a href="http://www.web-strategist.com/blog/2008/10/10/layoffs-in-the-social-media-space/">social media layoffs</a>. By no coincidence it&#8217;s beginning in the UK too, so I hear. Then again, anecdotally speaking, it&#8217;s not all doom and gloom either.  My tech elder brother Andrew is flying down to London soon to raise venture capital for a new online tutoring venture for example.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/10/15/layoffs-in-the-social-media-space/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>IBM to launch social networking center</title>
		<link>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/09/18/ibm-to-launch-social-networking-center/</link>
		<comments>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/09/18/ibm-to-launch-social-networking-center/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Sep 2008 16:03:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stuart Hall</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Coincidences]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social software]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[coincidence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dow Jones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IBM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ICAEW]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Thomson Reuters]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.stuart-hall.com/?p=1402</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I see IBM are working with Dow Jones and Thomson Reuters’ healthcare arm on a new web 2.0 software center in the US. Nice, I used to work with Thomson Reuters’ healthcare arm in the UK (with the affable Jeremy &#8230; <a href="http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/09/18/ibm-to-launch-social-networking-center/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I see IBM are working with <a href="http://www.dowjones.com/">Dow Jones</a> and <a href="http://www.thomsonreuters.com/business_units/healthcare/">Thomson Reuters’ healthcare</a> arm on a <a href="http://www.networkworld.com/news/2008/091708-interop-ibm-social-networking.html?hpg1=bn">new web 2.0 software center</a> in the US. Nice, I used to work with Thomson Reuters’ healthcare arm in the UK (with the affable Jeremy Snelling) and talked with them on improving their data feed for <a href="http://www.medicexchange.com">Medicexchange.com</a>. Now I&#8217;m working in the finance sector through the ICAEW on <a href="http://www.ion.icaew.com">ION</a>, the social networking community. All pretty interesting from a business viewpoint for my part, + a nice coincidence from a nerd standpoint.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/09/18/ibm-to-launch-social-networking-center/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>At least I&#8217;m right about one thing &#8211; PBR</title>
		<link>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/24/at-least-im-right-about-one-thing-pbr/</link>
		<comments>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/24/at-least-im-right-about-one-thing-pbr/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Jun 2008 09:33:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stuart Hall</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Brazil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Coincidences]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Main Page]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/24/at-least-im-right-about-one-thing-pbr/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I like coincidences, so it was great fun to see the recent Fortune magazine article 'America's Hottest Investor' focus on a true contrarian, mutual fund manager Ken Heebner, who also just happens to be at the top of his investment game. And who just happens to confirm my liking for Petrobas (PBR): "Petrobas could become the biggest stock in the world," he says..



 <a href="http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/24/at-least-im-right-about-one-thing-pbr/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><P>I like coincidences, so it was great fun to see the recent <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2008/05/23/magazines/fortune/birger_americas_hottest_investor.fortune/">Fortune magazine article &#8216;America&#8217;s Hottest Investor&#8217;</A> focus on a true contrarian, mutual fund manager Ken Heebner, who also just happens to be at the top of his investment game. And who just happens to confirm my liking for Petrobas (PBR): &#8220;Petrobas could become the biggest stock in the world,&#8221; he says. Update on his <a href="http://www.247wallst.com/2008/06/ken-heebner-kee.html">liking of PBR on 25 June</A>.</P> <P>A few choice excerpts for your consideration:</P> <P><EM>Just how good has Heebner been? We may well be witnessing the most dazzling run of stock picking in mutual fund history. Since May 1998, Focus has an average annualized return of 24%, the best ten-year record of any U.S. mutual fund, compared with only 4% for Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s 500. Focus, which has $7.4 billion in assets, is already up 15% in 2008 (as of May 19), but it is 2007 that will be remembered as Heebner&#8217;s pi</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/24/at-least-im-right-about-one-thing-pbr/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The two productions of knowledge paper</title>
		<link>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/18/the-two-productions-of-knowledge-paper/</link>
		<comments>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/18/the-two-productions-of-knowledge-paper/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Jun 2008 10:51:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stuart Hall</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Coincidences]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Main Page]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Psychology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[drugs policy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/18/the-two-productions-of-knowledge-paper/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[TOWARDS A WORKING NON-LINEAR SCIENCE OF EMPOWERMENT   Stuart  G. Hall, m-power   A paper for presentation during the Ninth Annual International Conference of the Society for Chaos Theory in Psychology and the Life Sciences in Berkeley, California, July 23-26, &#8230; <a href="http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/18/the-two-productions-of-knowledge-paper/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN-LEFT: 42.55pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center" align="center"><strong><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">TOWARDS A WORKING NON-LINEAR SCIENCE OF EMPOWERMENT</span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN-LEFT: 42.55pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center" align="center"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN-LEFT: 42.55pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center" align="center"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Stuart<span>  </span>G. Hall, m-power</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN-LEFT: 42.55pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center" align="center"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN-LEFT: 42.55pt"><strong><em><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">A paper for presentation during the Ninth Annual International Conference of the Society for Chaos Theory in Psychology and the Life Sciences in Berkeley, California, July 23-26, 1999</span></em></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN-LEFT: 42.55pt"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN-LEFT: 42.55pt"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Abstract: </span></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">This paper is based on the believe that people have an intuitive ‘chaos’ understanding of the world in which they live. This understanding is comparable to non-linear science.<span>  </span>“The two productions of knowledge differ only in their argumentation premises, methodology, and consequently in their distinct manners &#8211; both valid &#8211; of reading the world.” (1) </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN-LEFT: 42.55pt"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Educationalist Paulo Freire found that by teaching illiterate people using a theory and action based on love, they learned to read and write by overcoming the cause &#8211; powerlessness. I have harnessed Freire’s approach in developing a non-linear science of empowerment based on people’s intuitive ‘chaos’ understanding. The aim is to help people to overcome their fears and lack of confidence.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN-LEFT: 42.55pt"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN-LEFT: 42.55pt"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Keywords:</span></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> chaos, consciousness, empowerment, envionment, love, metaphor, non-linear science.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN-LEFT: 42.55pt"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN-LEFT: 42.55pt"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">CONTACT INFORMATION: Stuart G. Hall, 12 Cross Rd, Leicester, UK LE2 3AA; Tel: 00 +44 (0)116 2707586.<span>  </span>e-mail: stuarth@dircon.co.uk<span>  </span>www.m-power.org.uk</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Introduction</span></span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">“The deepest error of modern biology is the entrenched belief that organisms interact only with other organisms and only adapt to their material environment. This is as wrong as believing that the people of a village interact with their neighbours but merely adapt to the material conditions of their cottages. In real life, both organisms and people change their environment as well as adapting to it.” (5) </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">In ideal terms people are equal to other organisms in the ability to change the environment.</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> <span style="COLOR: black">We are different from other organisms, from animals, by virtue of our consciousness. We are different from other people for the same basic reason. </span>The problem is that the environment in which we live is organised according to need, not love. Consequently we can easily grow up in an environment colonised by contradictory values. For example Darwin in his ‘Descent of Man’ attempts to confront the contradicatory values of Victorian England by arguing that human evolution is based on love. (6)</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">All people have the ability to change their environment, but not equally. While ‘most people’ appear to simply adapt in order to survive, conversely: “The educated individual is the adapted person, because she or he is better ‘fit’ for the world.” (5) Both have been colonised by the values of the powerful, argues Freire, utlising psychiatrist Franz Fanon’s observations of the effects of French colonisation in Algeria (6).</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"><span> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Understanding is Survival</span></span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">The idea that there could be a people’s knowledge substantially equivalent to educated knowledge is acknowledged by Edwin Lazlo in terms of “the growing convergence between the mystical worldview (predominantly, but by no means exclusively Eastern) and the emerging paradigm of reality among scientists at the cutting edge of contemporary knowledge&#8221;. (7) It is rare to find anyone arguing this kind of equivalence in the West, and for good reason, the colonisation of consciousness by the values of need and knowledge has had longer to run: “European mathematics is mathematics: all other mathematics is anthropology. That explains why this other mathematics belongs to what has been called ethnoscience.” (19) Consequently people’s collective silence is correlated with stupidity, when it is first and foremost an adaptive response to an environment where people perceive they do not have a ‘voice’. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Labov makes this point in his study, <span style="text-decoration: underline;">The Logic of Nonstandard English</span> in refuting educational psychologists who argued that Black speech patterns were unable of logically (logic=linear=standard) expressing abstract concepts. He examines a statement about the non-existence of heaven by a boy called Larry to illustrate his point:</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Non-linear:</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">“’Cause you see. doesn’ nobody really know that it’s a God, </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">y’know, ‘cause I mean I have seen black gods, pink gods, white gods. all </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">color gods, and don’t nobody know it really a God. An’ when they be sayin’</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">if you good, you goin’ t’heaven, tha’s bullshit, ‘cause you ain’t goin’ to no</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">heaven, ‘cause it ain’t no heaven for you to go to.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Linear:</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">1 Everyone has a different idea of what God is like.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">2 Therefore nobody really knows God exists.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">3 If there is a heaven, it was made by God.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">4 If God doesn’t exist he couldn’t have made heaven.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">5 Therefore heaven doesn’t exist.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">6 You can’t go to somewhere that doesn’t exist.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">That is an example of non-linear understanding in expressing an abstract concept.<span>  </span>If you need more proof of people’s intuitive understanding of chaos, of its equivalence to knowledge, how about in survival? An example of what I’m trying to say is provided by a recent study of drug users from the late 1970’s New York, and their response to the emergence of a fatal new illness:</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">“In the period from 1976 to the early 1980’s, seroprevalence in New York rose from zero to about 50%&#8230;The epidemic then entered a period of dynamic stabilization&#8230;Although mathematical models have suggested network saturation may have been an important part of the stabilization process (Blower, 1991), the sociometric analysis of drug injectors’ networks conducted during the research for this volume suggest that the extent of network saturation may have been quite limited.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">“Behaviour change probably made a major contribution to the stabilization of seroprevalence. In spite of a popular image that would suggest that either “slavery to their addiction” or “hedonistic, selfish personalities that ignore risks and social responsibility,” drug injectors in New York (and indeed, throughout the world) have acted both to protect themselves and others against the AIDS epidemic. Thus, by 1984, before there were any programs other than the mass media to inform them about AIDS or to help to protect themselves, drug injectors in New York were engaged in widespread risk reduction&#8230;Furthermore, observations on the street confirmed this by showing that drug dealers were competing with others for business by offering free sterile syringes along with their drugs as AIDS-prevention techniques.” (10)</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Understanding unpredicatability is key to survival.<span>  </span>&#8220;Case study after case study of the human rather than the chemical level reveals our capacity &#8211; by no means 100% reliable, but to a higher degree than present chaos theory dictates &#8211; to predict the future in situations of extreme instability.&#8221; (11)<span>  </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"><span> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Before the advent of meterology people’s understanding of the unpredicatbale behaviour of weather was key to the success of their harvest, and hence their survival. Fifty years ago a panel of US scientists was set up to examine the validity of 153 traditional weather sayings: “The panel found that at least 80 of them were sound. The early weather forecasters had come to the same conclusions about what they saw in the sky as have today’s experts with modern knowledge and scientific principles to help them.” (14)<span>  </span>Typically people’s understanding is expressed in metaphor &#8211; a powerful tool in simply communcating the principle that simple laws can result in complex results for example (15: schroder-quote in previous text): </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">“For want of a nail, the shoe was lost; For want of a shoe, the horse was lost;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">For want of a horse, the rider was lost; For want of a rider, the battle was lost;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">For want of a battle, the kingdom was lost!”(Gleick)</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN-LEFT: 42.55pt"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN-LEFT: 42.55pt"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Towards a working non-linear science of empowerment</span></span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Non-linear empowerment works by working with people’s understanding of chaos and change, often understood in spiral metaphor:<span>  </span>“</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">The desert is not a circle. It is a spiral. When we have passed through the desert, nothing will be the same<span style="COLOR: black">.” (18) In other words: </span>&#8220;The psychology of the mature human being is an unfolding, emergent, oscillating spiraling process marked by progressive subordination of older, lower-order behavior systems to newer, higher-order systems as man&#8217;s existential problems change.&#8221; (19)</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">As an example of how non-linear empowerment<span>  </span>would work in practice I provide the following model I designed where the goal is to supporting consumer group leaders: </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN-RIGHT: -2.9pt"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN-RIGHT: -2.9pt"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Non-linear empowerment </span></span><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">for self- help/consumer-run services</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN-RIGHT: -2.9pt"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"><span style="TEXT-DECORATION: none"> </span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm -2.9pt 0pt 7.1pt; TEXT-INDENT: -7.1pt"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">1 Strengthen consumer group leaders by empowering them with greater self-confidence.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm -2.9pt 0pt 7.1pt; TEXT-INDENT: -7.1pt"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">2 Support and strengthen consumer group leaders by enabling them to use those new found skills and confidence to help empower individuals greater self-confidence regardless of gender, race, sexual orientation, age etc.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm -2.9pt 0pt 7.1pt; TEXT-INDENT: -7.1pt"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">3 Promote greater individual participation in groups at all levels as a result of individual empowerment.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm -2.9pt 0pt 7.1pt; TEXT-INDENT: -7.1pt"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">4 Enable groups to participate more widely in their communities, encouraging further individual self-empowerment with the support of group leaders.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm -2.9pt 0pt 7.1pt; TEXT-INDENT: -7.1pt"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">5 Support efforts to change communities’ perceptions/actions regarding people with experience of mental distress, and in encouraging reflection on their own experience.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">I believe Paulo Freire’s pedagogic model based on love is useful here, as he emphasises the<span>  </span>importance of ‘student’ and ‘teacher’ working on an equal level &#8211; despite their obvious differences in power. To paraphrase Freire, both must be ‘co-intentional’, as both are subjects in the task of unveiling reality (21).</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;-</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">References</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">(1) </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Freire, <span style="text-decoration: underline;">Pedagogy of Hope,</span> chap 6. Or to put it in more intuitive language: &#8220;These peasants know more than we do.&#8221;.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">(2) Lazlo, <span style="text-decoration: underline;">The Whispering Pond</span>, Foreward. &#8220;Perhaps the most significant development in recent times&#8230; is the growing convergence between the mystical worldview (predominantly, but by no means exclusively Eastern) and the emerging paradigm of reality among scientists at the cutting edge of contemporary knowledge .&#8221;<span>  </span>For mystic I use the phrase intuitive chaos understanding &#8211; a phenomena hidden to most academics in the West because they have been educated to see the world along linear lines.<span>  </span>Not surprisingly therefore the orientation of current non-linear psychology is ‘top-down-linear’, as its aim is essentially improved control of the human environment, rather than to attempt to work with it.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">3.<span>  </span>Hall, </span><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Chaos &amp; Love: A non-linear model of empowerment in philosophy and action for self- help/consumer-run services/programs,</span></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> workshop to be presented at the International Association of Psychosocial Rehabilitation Services Conference, Washington, May 2000.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN-RIGHT: -2.9pt"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Loye, Darwin’s Lost Theory: A New Grounding For The Chaos Revolution</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Introduction</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">1. See ‘Chaos and Crime’, T.R.Young, in ‘Chaos, Criminology and Social Justice: The New Orderly (Dis)Order, Ed. by Dragan Milovanovic, 1997 for the inspiration for this distinction. (SPIS 364)</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">2. ‘A Way of life for Agnostics,’ James Lovelock, Gaia Circular, Summer 1999.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">3. See Eric Fromm, ‘The Art of Loving’.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">4. Paulo Freire, Pedagogy of the Oppressed; Pedagogy of Hope.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">5. ibid, Pedagogy of the Oppressed.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">6. Franz Fanon, Wretched of the Earth</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">7. See my web site: www.m-power.org.uk for further proof. The web designer was my father, Dr Bob Hall. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">People’s Knowledge</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">8. The Logic of Nonstandard English, William Labov: cited in Sociology: Themes and Perspectives: M.Haralambos/R.M.Heald.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">9. Paulo Freire, Pedagogy of Hope.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">10. Friedman SR, Curtis R, Neaigus A, Jose B, Des Jarlais DC, ‘Social Networks, Drug Injectors’ Lives, and HIV/AIDS,’ 1999. New York, Kluwer/Plenum.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">11. James Gleick, ‘Chaos: Making a New Science.’</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">People’s knowledge of chaos: ‘It’s raining by planets’</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">12. Jonathan Wilshere, Leicestershire Weather Sayings, 1980.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">13. Ibid.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">14. Weather Wise, Reader’s Digest<span>  </span>publication, 1980. Folk sayings even recognise the dangers of correlation: “The moon and the weather may change together, But change of the moon does not change the weather,” in W.G.Willis Watson, ‘Calendar of Somerset Customs, Superstitions, Weather Lore &amp; Popular Sayings’’, 1920.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">17. Jonathan Wilshere, Leicestershire Weather Sayings, 1980.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">Interaction between the two sets of chaos knowledge.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">18. Ervin Laszlo, The Whispering Pond: A personal guide to the emerging vision of science. I include ‘people’s knowledge’ with the mystical, and in connecting it with Freire’s point about people’s knowledge contained in metaphor, it is worth citing Julien Green, “Suite Anglaise,’ 1972: “It is tempting to believe that mystics lack intellectual clarity, and that they easily confuse one thing with another. It is the symbolism they use which explains this mistaken view: a careful reading of the writings of the saints dealing with their visions, shows that once the transition is made from the tangible to the symbolic world, they never mix their images, but consistently adhere to the proportions they have chosen. Why is this? The answer is these images are the exact representation of the truth which they contemplate. In fact no-one is more precise than a mystic, and the mystic is not a dreamer.”</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">19. Thomas Crump, ‘The Anthropology of Numbers’, 1990.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">20. Jurgen Habermas makes a call for an equal discourse in his philosophic writings. However, his idealistic approach fails to recognise the material &amp; power differences between participants. CHECK.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Century Gothic'">21. Paulo Freire, Pedagogy of the Oppressed.</span></p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/18/the-two-productions-of-knowledge-paper/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Winning &amp; predicting</title>
		<link>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/18/winning-predicting/</link>
		<comments>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/18/winning-predicting/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Jun 2008 10:10:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stuart Hall</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Coincidences]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Main Page]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Psychology]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/18/winning-predicting/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Spotted the nice story about the lottery winner today, who had both dreamed about a win, and his daughter had been told by a mystery woman that she would win the lottery. That got me thinking for fun about the &#8230; <a href="http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/18/winning-predicting/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><P>Spotted the <a href="http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1027222/Builder-scoops-3m-lottery-jackpot--just-hours-psychic-predicted-win.html">nice story about the lottery winner today</A>, who had both dreamed about a win, and his daughter had been told by a mystery woman that she would win the lottery.</P> <P>That got me thinking for fun about the science of winning and predicting, and the ability of people in this respect, which I&#8217;ve touched on before in a <a href="http://www.stuart-hall.com/blog/_archives/2005/11/5/3750438.html">short paper from 1999</A>, and a related blog on the practical value of luck <a href="http://www.stuart-hall.com/blog/_archives/2007/7/8/3077925.html">involving 9/11</A>.</P> <P>One way of looking at this is to consider another theme, even if a coincidence is interesting from an academic point of view, its value is significantly amended by a real event. This the mystery woman&#8217;s prediction to the daughter now has significance because of the win. Thus, obviously, prediction increases in value when it turns out to be true. But the flipside of this the only way to get better at prediction is through trial and error (or the belief that <a href="http://www.recruitmentrevolution.com/index.php?option=com_rrnews&amp;task=view&amp;id=468">lucky underwear</A> can help at interviews?!).</P> <P>Another feature of this story is the concept of lucky numbers, which I picked up on recently with the <a href="http://www.stuart-hall.com/blog/_archives/2008/6/8/3734050.html">number 17</A>. And by coincidence that&#8217;s one of the numbers in the lottery win (7, 16, 17, 23, 29, and 34).</P> <P>What was a nice twist on this lucky number theme was on Saturday when I joined the&nbsp;Gala Casino in Leicester with Shirls, and was given an introductory tour by a nice lady. When I asked her what her lucky number was she replied &#8217;15&#8242; so no luck on number 17. But then she added, &#8220;the reason it&#8217;s 15 is that&#8217;s my birthday, which is tomorrow&#8221;.</P> <P><IMG src="http://www.stuart-hall.com/_NewPhotos/18_ball.JPG"></P> <P>&nbsp;</P></p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/18/winning-predicting/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>New York was once in Leicestershire hands</title>
		<link>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/08/new-york-was-once-in-leicestershire-hands/</link>
		<comments>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/08/new-york-was-once-in-leicestershire-hands/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Jun 2008 14:36:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stuart Hall</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Coincidences]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Main Page]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/08/new-york-was-once-in-leicestershire-hands/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[While my uncle is reportedly the last surviving member of the Royal Lincolnshire Regiment I was reminded of the history of the Royal Leicestershire Regiment today with a visit to the Newake Houses Museum. Little did I know that in &#8230; <a href="http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/08/new-york-was-once-in-leicestershire-hands/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><P>While my uncle is reportedly the last surviving member of the Royal Lincolnshire Regiment I was reminded of the history of the Royal Leicestershire Regiment today with a visit to the <a href="http://www.leicester.gov.uk/your-council--services/lc/leicester-city-museums/museums/newarkehouses">Newake Houses Museum</A>. Little did I know that in 1776 the forerunner to the regiment, the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/17th_Regiment_of_Foot">17th Regiment of Foot</A>, helped capture New York in the American War of Independence. There&#8217;s a pic of a button left in New York as way of anecdotal proof.<IMG src="http://www.stuart-hall.com/_images/emoticons/em.icon.smile.gif"></P> <P align=center><IMG src="http://www.stuart-hall.com/pic/17_button.jpg"></P> <P align=left>By the way on the subject if the <U>number 17</U> it&#8217;s a curious contradicttion that if you search wikipedia that against &#8217;17 (number)&#8217; that it both appears as &#8220;the high incidence of the number 17 and its function as &#8216;the most <A title="Random number" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Random_number">random number</A>&#8216; as described by <A class=mw-redirect title=MIT href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MIT">MIT</A>&#8220;, and the <A class=mw-redirect title="Least random number" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Least_random_number">&#8220;least random number</A> (17), according to the <EM>Hacker&#8217;s <A title="Jargon File" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jargon_File">Jargon File</A>&#8220;</EM>. </P> <P align=center>&nbsp;</P> <P align=center>. </P> <P align=center>&nbsp;</P></p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/08/new-york-was-once-in-leicestershire-hands/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Blue Monday</title>
		<link>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/03/blue-monday/</link>
		<comments>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/03/blue-monday/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Jun 2008 08:40:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stuart Hall</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Coincidences]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Main Page]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/03/blue-monday/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There was a sense of chaos in Monday, quite apart from the banks &#8216;Black Monday&#8217;&#160;as City AM titled it. The fire engines from Shoreditch were out in Copthall Avenue. And the C2C trains were severley delayed going out of Fenchurch &#8230; <a href="http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/03/blue-monday/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><P>There was a sense of chaos in Monday, quite apart from the banks <a href="http://www.sharecast.com/cgi-bin/sharecast/story.cgi?story_id=2137158">&#8216;Black Monday&#8217;</A>&nbsp;as City AM titled it.</P> <P>The fire engines from Shoreditch were out in <a href="http://www.londontown.com/LondonStreets/copthall_avenue_d2d.html">Copthall Avenue</A>. </P> <P>And the C2C trains were severley delayed going out of Fenchurch Street.</P><BR> <P align=center> <OBJECT height=355 width=425><PARAM NAME="movie" VALUE="http://www.youtube.com/v/d36MMqMUZgs&amp;hl=en"><PARAM NAME="wmode" VALUE="transparent"> <embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/d36MMqMUZgs&#038;hl=en" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" wmode="transparent" width="425" height="355"></embed></OBJECT></P></p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2008/06/03/blue-monday/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Gary Rhodes in John Lewis!</title>
		<link>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2007/11/09/gary-rhodes-in-john-lewis/</link>
		<comments>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2007/11/09/gary-rhodes-in-john-lewis/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Nov 2007 07:28:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stuart Hall</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Coincidences]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Main Page]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.stuart-hall.com/2007/11/09/gary-rhodes-in-john-lewis/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Cool, spotted Gary Rhodes the famous chef in John Lewis. Nice coincidence (wikipedia tells me so it must be right) that he started his career at the Amsterdam Hilton Hotel, where we are off for Xmas.Looks like he has a &#8230; <a href="http://www.stuart-hall.com/2007/11/09/gary-rhodes-in-john-lewis/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Cool, spotted <a href="http://www.garyrhodes.com/main.html">Gary Rhodes</a> the famous chef in John Lewis. Nice coincidence (wikipedia tells me so it must be right) that he started his career at the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amsterdam" title="Amsterdam">Amsterdam</a> <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hilton_Hotel" title="Hilton Hotel">Hilton Hotel</a>, where we are off for Xmas.Looks like he has a newish recent in W1 &#8212; <a href="http://www.rhodesw1.com/">Rhodes W1</a> which would be worth checking out.</p>
<div style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/1/11/Gary_Rhodes.jpg/200px-Gary_Rhodes.jpg"></div>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.stuart-hall.com/2007/11/09/gary-rhodes-in-john-lewis/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
	</channel>
</rss>

